The World Heroin Market Can Supply Be Cut?

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Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2009-04-10
Publisher(s): Oxford University Press
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Summary

Heroin is universally considered the world's most harmful illegal drug. This is due not only to the damaging effects of the drug itself, but also to the spread of AIDS tied to its use. Burgeoning illegal mass consumption in the 1960s and 1970s has given rise to a global market for heroin and other opiates of nearly 16 million users. The production and trafficking of opiates have caused crime, disease, and social distress throughout the world, leading many nations to invest billions of dollars trying to suppress the industry. The failure of their efforts has become a central policy concern. Can the world heroin supply actually be cut, and with what consequences? The result of a five-year-long research project involving extensive fieldwork in six Asian countries, Colombia, and Turkey, this book is the first systematic analysis of the contemporary world heroin market, delving into its development and structure, its participants, and its socio-economic impact. It provides a sound and comprehensive empirical base for concluding that there is little opportunity to shrink the global supply of heroin in the long term, and explains why production is concentrated in a handful of countries--and is likely to remain that way. on the basis of these findings, the authors identify a key set of policy opportunities, largely local, and make suggestions for leveraging them. This book also offers new insights into market conditions in India, Tajikistan, and other countries that have been greatly harmed by the production and trafficking of illegal opiates. A deft integration of economics, sociology, history, and policy analysis, The World Heroin Market provides a rigorous and vital look into the complex--and resilient--global heroin trade.

Author Biography


Letizia Paoli is Professor of Criminology at the K.U. Leuven Faculty of Law, Belgium.
Victoria Greenfield holds the Admiral Crowe Chair in Economics at the U.S. Naval Academy.
Peter Reuter is Professor in the School of Public Policy and the Department of Criminology at the University of Maryland.

Table of Contents

Introductionp. 3
Prior Researchp. 5
Data Collection and Model Developmentp. 7
Major Findingsp. 8
Book Outlinep. 10
The Development, Composition, and Behavior of the World Opiate Market
The Past as Prologue: The Development of the World Opiate Market and the Rise of the International Control Regimep. 15
Introductionp. 15
Production and Consumption, 1800-1909p. 16
Development and Impact of the International Drug Control Regime, 1909-1945p. 21
Rise and Impact of National Controls, 1906-1945p. 26
Downslide and Upswing, 1945-1970, and a Brief Codap. 33
Concluding Remarksp. 39
The Contemporary Marketp. 41
Introductionp. 41
Current Conditions and Market Trendsp. 42
Properties of Supply and Demandp. 53
Supply Control Policiesp. 64
Concluding Remarksp. 67
Did the Taliban's Ban Really Matter?p. 69
Introductionp. 69
The Ban, the Cutback, and the Aftermathp. 70
The Market Responsep. 71
Concluding Remarksp. 83
Keeping Track of Opiate Flowsp. 85
Introductionp. 85
An Outline of the Approachp. 86
Data Compilationp. 88
Data Reconciliationp. 100
Trafficking Routes and Opiate Flowsp. 103
Concluding Remarksp. 106
Country Studies
Afghanistan and Burma: The Two Dominant Producersp. 111
Introductionp. 111
In Search of an Explanationp. 111
Afghanistan: From Quasi-State Authorities to Protectors within the State?p. 118
Burma: A Succession of Quasi-State Authoritiesp. 130
Concluding Remarksp. 142
India: Diversion from Licit Cultivationp. 144
Introductionp. 144
Opiate Consumptionp. 145
Illicit Sources of Opiatesp. 146
Diversion from Licit Production and Its Share of the Illicit Marketp. 148
Heroin Production, Trafficking, and Exportp. 157
Concluding Remarksp. 159
Colombia: The Emergence of a New Producerp. 161
Introductionp. 161
Background: Cocaine, Insurgents, and Government Weaknessp. 162
The Emergence of the Opiate Industryp. 165
Opium Production and Processingp. 166
The Industry Players and Their Relationshipsp. 172
Control Effortsp. 175
Consumptionp. 178
Concluding Remarksp. 179
Tajikistan: The Rise of a Narco-Statep. 181
Introductionp. 181
The Expansion of the Illicit Opiate Industry: Explanatory Factorsp. 182
The Phases of Traffickingp. 188
Tajikistan's Integration into the World Heroin Marketp. 190
The Rapid Growth of Local Opiate Consumptionp. 191
Drug-Trafficking Enterprisesp. 192
Concluding Remarksp. 197
Policy Analysis and Implications
The Theoretical and Practical Consequences of Variations in Effective Illegalityp. 201
Introductionp. 201
The Consequences of Strict Enforcementp. 204
The Consequences of Lax Enforcementp. 209
The Consequences of Non-enforcementp. 219
Two Theses on the Role of Governments in Opiate Marketsp. 227
Concluding Remarksp. 233
Synthesis of Findings and Lessons for Policy Makingp. 235
Findings on the World Opiate Marketp. 235
Suggestions for Leveraging Limited Policy Opportunitiesp. 245
Possible Futures for International Drug Policyp. 249
Legal Production of Opiump. 259
Average Consumption and Purityp. 261
Central Asia: Trafficking Revenues and Economic Dependencyp. 267
Examples of Countries with Lax Enforcementp. 284
Notesp. 293
Referencesp. 327
Indexp. 359
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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