Statistics for Lawyers

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Edition: 2nd
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2001-12-01
Publisher(s): Springer Verlag
List Price: $94.49

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Summary

Statistics for Lawyers is designed to introduce law students, law teachers, practitioners, and judges to the basic ideas of mathematical probability and statistics as they have been applied in the law. The book consists of sections of exposition followed by real-world cases and case studies in which stastical data have played a role. The reader is asked to apply the theory to the facts, to calculate results (a hand calculator is sufficient), and to explore legal issues raised by quantitative findings. The authors' calculations and comments are given in the back of the book. The cases and case studies reflect a broad variety of legal subjects, including antidiscrimination, mass torts, taxation, school finance, identification evidence, preventive detention, handwriting disputes, voting, environmental protection, antitrust, and the death penalty. The first edition of Statistics for Lawyers, which appeared in 1990, has been used in law, statistics, and social science courses. In 1991 it was selected by the University of Michigan Law Review as one of the important law books of the year. This second edition includes many new problems reflecting current developments in the law, including a new chapter on epidemiology. Michael O. Finkelstein is a practicing lawyer in New York City. He has been a member of the adjunct faculty of Columbia University Law School since 1967, teaching Statistics for Lawyers, and has also taught at Harvard, New York University, and Yale Law Schools. He is the author of a book of essays, Quantitative Methods in Law, and numerous law review articles on the applications of statistics in law. He frequently consults and testifies in litigated matters. Bruce Levin is a professor at the Joseph L. Mailman School of Public Health of Columbia University in the Division of Biostatistics. He is the Consulting Editor for Statistics for the American Journal of Public Health, participates in clinical trials, and is the author of numerous articles on the subject of biostatistics. He has consulted and testified as an expert in many law cases involving statistical issues.

Table of Contents

Preface to the Second Edition vii
Preface to the First Edition ix
Acknowledgments xiii
List of Figures
xxiii
List of Tables
xxvii
Descriptive Statistics
1(42)
Introduction to descriptive statistics
1(2)
Measures of central location
3(15)
Parking meter heist
7(3)
Taxing railroad property
10(3)
Capital infusions for ailing thrifts
13(1)
Hydroelectric fish kill
14(1)
Pricey lettuce
15(1)
Super-drowsy drug
16(2)
Measures of dispersion
18(10)
Texas reapportionment
22(3)
Damages for pain and suffering
25(1)
Ancient trial of the Pyx
26(2)
A measure of correlation
28(8)
Dangerous eggs
31(2)
Public school finance in Texas
33(3)
Measuring the disparity between two proportions
36(7)
Proficiency test with a disparate impact
39(1)
Bail and bench warrants
40(2)
Non-intoxicating beer
42(1)
How to Count
43(14)
Permutations and combinations
43(10)
DNA profiling
46(3)
Weighted voting
49(2)
Was the bidding rigged?
51(1)
A cluster of leukemia
51(1)
Measuring market concentration
52(1)
Fluctuation theory
53(4)
Tracing funds for constructive trusts
55(2)
Elements of Probability
57(42)
Some fundamentals of probability calculation
57(16)
Interracial couple in yellow car
63(3)
Independence assumption in DNA profiles
66(3)
Telltale fibers
69(1)
Telltale hairs
69(4)
Selection effect
73(2)
L'affaire Dreyfus
73(1)
Searching DNA databases
74(1)
Bayes's theorem
75(6)
Rogue bus
77(2)
Bayesian proof of paternity
79(2)
Screening devices and diagnostic tests
81(7)
Airport screening device
84(2)
Polygraph evidence
86(2)
Monte Carlo methods
88(7)
Sentencing a heroin swallower
89(3)
Cheating on multiple-choice tests
92(3)
Foundations of probability
95(4)
Relevant evidence defined
97(2)
Some Probability Distributions
99(55)
Introduction to probability distributions
99(4)
Binomial distribution
103(10)
Discrimination in jury selection
105(1)
Educational nominating panel
106(1)
Small and nonunanimous juries in criminal cases
107(4)
Cross-section requirement for federal jury lists
111(2)
Normal distribution and a central limit theorem
113(7)
Alexander: Culling the jury list
117(1)
Castaneda: Measuring disparities
118(2)
Testing statistical hypotheses
120(3)
Hiring teachers
122(1)
Hypergeometric distribution
123(11)
Were the accountants negligent?
126(1)
Challenged election
127(1)
Election 2000: Who won Florida?
128(6)
Tests of normality
134(7)
Heights of French conscripts
137(1)
Silver ``butterfly'' straddles
138(3)
Poisson distribution
141(7)
Sulphur in the air
144(1)
Vaccinations
144(1)
Is the cult dangerous?
145(1)
Incentive for good drivers
145(1)
Epidemic of cardiac arrests
146(2)
Geometric and exponential distributions
148(6)
Marine transportation of liquefied natural gas
150(1)
Network affiliation contracts
150(1)
Dr. Branion's case
151(3)
Statistical Inference for Two Proportions
154(46)
Fisher's exact test of equality for two proportions
154(3)
Nursing examination
157(1)
The chi-squared and z-score tests for the equality of two proportions
157(9)
Suspected specialists
163(1)
Reallocating commodity trades
164(1)
Police examination
164(1)
Promotions at a bank
165(1)
Confidence intervals for proportions
166(16)
Confounders and confidence intervals
174(1)
Paucity of Crossets
175(1)
Purloined notices
176(1)
Commodity exchange reports
177(1)
Discharge for dishonest acts
178(1)
Confidence interval for promotion test data
179(1)
Complications in vascular surgery
179(1)
Torture, disappearance, and summary execution in the Philippines
179(3)
Statistical power in hypothesis testing
182(6)
Death penalty for rape
184(2)
Is Bendectin a teratogen?
186(1)
Automobile emissions and the Clean Air Act
187(1)
Legal and statistical significance
188(5)
Port Authority promotions
191(2)
Maximum likelihood estimation
193(7)
Purloined notices revisited
196(1)
Do microwaves cause cancer?
197(1)
Peremptory challenges of prospective jurors
197(3)
Comparing Multiple Proportions
200(22)
Using chi-squared to test goodness of fit
200(11)
Death-qualified jurors
202(2)
Spock jurors
204(1)
Grand jury selection revisited
205(1)
Howland Will contest
206(3)
Imanishi-Kari's case
209(2)
Bonferroni's inequality and multiple comparisons
211(5)
Wage additives and the four-fifths rule
213(1)
Discretionary parole
214(1)
Cheating on standardized multiple-choice tests revisited
215(1)
More measures of association: Phi-squared (&phis;2) and tau B (τB)
216(6)
Preventive detention
218(4)
Comparing Means
222(15)
Student's t-test: Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals
222(9)
Automobile emissions and the Clean Air Act revisited
226(1)
Voir dire of prospective trial jurors
227(2)
Ballot position
229(1)
Student's t-test and the Castaneda rule
229(2)
Analysis of variance for comparing several means
231(6)
Fiddling debt collector
235(2)
Combining Evidence Across Independent Strata
237(19)
Mantel-Haenszel and Fisher methods for combining the evidence
237(12)
Hiring lawyers
245(1)
Age discrimination in employment terminations
246(3)
Meta-analysis
249(7)
Bendectin revisited
254(2)
Sampling Issues
256(26)
The theory of random sampling
256(20)
Selective Service draft lotteries
262(4)
Uninsured motor vehicles
266(1)
Mail order survey
266(2)
Domino effect
268(2)
NatraTaste versus NutraSweet
270(2)
Cocaine by the bag
272(1)
ASCAP sampling plan
273(1)
Current Population Survey
274(2)
Capture/recapture
276(6)
Adjusting the census
277(5)
Epidemiology
282(35)
Introduction
282(2)
Attributable risk
284(7)
Atomic weapons tests
287(4)
Epidemiologic principles of causation
291(26)
Dalkon Shield
296(3)
Radioactive ``cocktails'' for pregnant women
299(3)
Preconception paternal irradiation and leukemia
302(6)
Swine flu vaccine and Guillain-Barre Syndrome
308(3)
Silicone breast implants
311(6)
Survival Analysis
317(22)
Death-density, survival, and hazard functions
317(6)
Valuing charitable remainders
320(1)
Defective house sidings
321(1)
``Lifing'' deposit accounts
322(1)
The proportional hazards model
323(8)
Age discrimination in employment terminations revisited
327(1)
Contaminated wells in Woburn
327(4)
Quantitative risk assessment
331(8)
Ureaformaldehyde foam insulation
334(2)
Ethylene oxide
336(3)
Nonparametric Methods
339(11)
The sign test
339(3)
Supervisory examinations
341(1)
Wilcoxon signed-rank test
342(1)
Voir dire of prospective trial jurors revisited
343(1)
Wilcoxon rank-sum test
343(5)
Sex discrimination in time to promotion
344(1)
Selection for employment from a list
345(1)
Sentencing by federal judges
346(2)
Spearman's rank correlation coefficient
348(2)
Draft lottery revisited
349(1)
Regression Models
350(67)
Introduction to multiple regression models
350(8)
Head Start programs
355(3)
Estimating and interpreting coefficients of the regression equation
358(9)
Western Union's cost of equity
361(1)
Tariffs for North Slope oil
362(1)
Ecological regression in vote-dilution cases
363(4)
Measures of indeterminacy for the regression equation
367(6)
Sex discrimination in academia
371(2)
Statistical significance of the regression coefficients
373(5)
Race discrimination at Muscle Shoals
377(1)
Explanatory factors for a regression equation
378(6)
Reading multiple-regression computer printout
384(12)
Pay discrimination in an agricultural extension service
386(6)
Public school financing in the State of Washington
392(3)
Public school financing in Pennsylvania
395(1)
Confidence and prediction intervals
396(6)
Projecting fuel costs
399(1)
Severance pay dispute
399(2)
Challenged absentee ballots
401(1)
Assumptions of the regression model
402(7)
Transformations of variables
409(8)
Western Union's cost of equity revisited
414(1)
Sex- and race-coefficient models for Republic National Bank
414(3)
More Complex Regression Models
417(64)
Time series
417(16)
Corrugated container price-fixing
419(1)
Puppy Chow versus Chewy Morsels
420(2)
Losses from infringing sales
422(1)
OTC market manipulation
423(3)
Fraud-on-the-market damages
426(2)
Effects of capital gains tax reductions
428(5)
Interactive models
433(7)
House values in the shadow of a uranium plant
437(3)
Alternative models in employment discrimination cases
440(4)
Locally weighted regression
444(3)
Urn models for Harris Bank
446(1)
Underadjustment bias in employment regressions
447(6)
Underadjustment in medical school
451(2)
Systems of equations
453(5)
Death penalty: Does it deter murder?
455(3)
Logit and probit regression
458(14)
Mortgage lending discrimination
462(1)
Death penalty in Georgia
463(8)
Deterring teenage smoking
471(1)
Poisson regression
472(3)
Challenger disaster
473(2)
Jackknife, cross-validation, and bootstrap
475(6)
Georgia death penalty revisited
477(4)
Appendix I: Calculations and Comments on the Cases 481(74)
Appendix II: Tables 555(28)
Glossary of Symbols 583(2)
List of Cases 585(4)
Bibliography 589(10)
Subject Index 599

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