Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Reduction

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Edition: 1st
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2002-11-01
Publisher(s): Springer Verlag
List Price: $103.95

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Summary

This book offers a comprehensive account of early warning systems developed for hydro-meteorological disasters such as floods, storms, etc. and for geological disasters such as earthquakes, volcanic activity or mountain hazards. One major theme is the increasingly important role in early warning systems played by the rapidly evolving fields of space and information technology. Based on 109 selected contributions by outstanding experts in the relevant scientific and technical fields, presented at the International IDNDR Conference: Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Reduction (EWC8) at the GeoForschungsZentrum, Potsdam, Germany, the authors offer a comprehensive overview and in-depth insight into the state of the art and future perspectives for early warning systems. This book is intended for decision-makers in the political arena, scientists, engineers and those responsible for public communication and dissemination of warnings.

Table of Contents

Introduction Natural Disasters and Early Warning 3(13)
Eugen Seibold
I Bringing Early Warning to the People
Bringing Early Warning to the People -- Public and Partnership Responsibilities for Early Warning
13(2)
Terry Jeggle
Early Warning Systems for the Reduction of Natural Disasters in China
15(4)
Zhen-Yao Wang
Yuan-Chang Zheng
Ji-Xun Li
The Human Factor in Early Warnings: Risk Perception and Appropriate Communications
19(8)
John Twigg
Scientific Contributions to Effective Early Warning in an Environmental Context
27(6)
Alexander L. Alusa
Natural Disaster Early Warning: The Role of NGOs
33(4)
Monica Omulo
Community Mobilisation for Early Warning in the Philippines
37(12)
Zenaida G. Delica
Disaster Management and Cyclone Warning System in Bangladesh
49(18)
Monowar Hossain Akhand
II Early Warning and Public Communication
Public Communication of Warnings
67(4)
Edward M. Gross
Public Communication of Early Warnings: Role of the Government
71(2)
Robert C. Landis
The Role of the Media in Public Communication of Early Warnings
73(4)
Inge Niedek
Early Warning: Community Interpretations and Perceptions - A Case of Recurrent Floods and their Warnings in Delhi (India)
77(4)
Anshu Sharma
Disaster Early Warning and Individuals with Special Needs: In Aggregate, the Underserved Represent a Significant Portion of Society
81(4)
John C. Scott
Bringing Early Warning to the People: Electronic Technology: The Role of the Internet
85(4)
Peter S. Anderson
III Aspects of Disaster Management, Emergency and Social Response with Respect to Early Warnings
Systems and Problems of Early Warning in Germany
89(6)
Horst Schottler
Benefits of Early Warning from the Viewpoint of the Insurance Industry
95(8)
Wolfgang Kron
Anselm Smolka
Gerhard Berz
Natural Risks in Albania and the Role of Related Warning Systems
103(4)
Mahir Hoti
Sokol Axhemi
Interaction and Cooperation between Russia and NIS in the Area of Preventing Emergency Situations of Technogenic and Natural Character
107(6)
Nikolai Makhutov
Vladimir Zatsarinnyi
Gender, Age and Social Class in Psychological Work in Disaster Situations
113(6)
Jose Manuel Salas Calvo
Psychological Interventions in Disaster Situations
119(8)
Lorena Saenz Segreda
IV Early Warning Systems for Hydrometeorological Hazards
The Role of the WMO World Weather Watch System in Mitigating Hydro-Meteorological Disasters
127(8)
Stefan Mildner
Meteorological and Hydrological Early Warning Systems
135(32)
John W. Zillman
IVa Early Warning Systems for Tropical Storms
Track Forecast Guidance Improvements for Early Warnings of Tropical Cyclones
167(18)
Russel L. Elsberry
The Tropical Cyclone Warning System in the Southwest Pacific
185(6)
Vikash Prasad
Neville Louis Koop
Early Warning System for Tropical Storms in India
191(8)
Sewa Ram Kalsi
Success and Failure of Early Warning Systems: A Case Study of the Gujarat Cyclone of June, 1998
199(4)
Sewa Ram Kalsi
Manu Gupta
From Good TC Track Forecasts Towards Good Early Warning of Intensity Changes
203(6)
Sir James Lighthill
Improving the Tropical Cyclone Warning System and its Effective Dissemination in Mauritius
209(6)
Ranjitrai R. Vaghjee
M. Lee Man Yan
IVb Early Warning Systems for Floods
Real-Time Flood Forecasting: Problems, Possibilities and Proposed Solutions
215(26)
Ezio Todini
Satellite Monitoring of Floods as a Part of the Early Warning System
241(6)
Vladimir Usachev
V. Asmus
A. Volkov
V. Prokaheva
Snowmelt Forecasting as a Contribution to Operational Flood Warning: A System Integrating Remote Sensing Data and Meteorological Model Output
247(6)
Stefan Voigt
Hannes Kleindienst
Michael F. Baumgartner
Short-Time Flood Forecast Methodology Using a Hydro-Meteorological Risk Concept for Flood Plains
253(6)
Boris I. Gartsman
Mark S. Karasyov
Hydro-Meteorological Tools for Flood Protection in River Basins
259(6)
Gabriele Malitz
Thilo Gunther
Extreme Runoff Events in Small Catchments -- the Need for a Proper Modelling Strategy for Early Warning Systems
265(6)
Dieter Gutknecht
Using Real Time Data and a Flow Prediction Model to Assist in the Operation of the Orange River
271(6)
Kerry A. Fair
Ronnie S. McKenzie
Andrew R. Craig
GISELE: A New Capability for Flash Flood Early Warnings Over Garonne River Sub-Basins
277(6)
Francois Helloco
Jean-Jacques Vidal
Jean-Luc Cheze
The Passage of the '97 Flood Wave on the Lower Odra
283(6)
Dorota Dybkowska-Stefek
Wolfgang Rosenthal
The Oder River Flood in Summer 1997 from Brandenburg's Point of View
289(16)
Hartmut Niesche
Cultural and Political Obstacles to Accepting Early Warnings of the Aral Sea Disaster
305(6)
Wilfried Ahrens
Early Warning Systems for the Detection and Response to Severe Floods
311(8)
William J. R. Alexander
IVc Early Warning Systems Related to Drought and Mitigation of Famine
Prediction of African Rainfall and Household Food Security
319(18)
Thomas E. Downing
Richard Washington
Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture: Appropriate Technology and Institutional Development Challenges
337(8)
Abdur Rashid
Early Warning and Geography: Space, Time and User Needs (Example from Famine Early Warning)
345(6)
Charles Kelly
Agrometeorological Information System for Mitigation of the Effects of Drought in Hungary
351(6)
Attila Bussay
Early and Dynamic Warning: An Integrated Approach to Drought Management
357(10)
Bhu Var Ahan Narasimhan
IVd Monitoring and Early Warnings Related to the El Nino Phenomenon
Monitoring and Early Warning Systems Related to the El-Nino Phenomenon -- An Overview
367(2)
Hartmut Grassl
Towards Operational Prediction of El Nino by a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model
369(6)
Hiroki Kondo
Operational Seasonal Predictions in Australia
375(4)
Grant Beard
Graham De Hoedt
Neil Plummer
ECMWF Seasonal Forecasting System: Performance and Evaluation
379(14)
David Anderson
Tim Stockdale
IVe Early Warning Systems for Severe Weather Phenomena in Mid and High Latitudes
Services from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute Can Reduce the Effects of Disasters -- Both Natural and Man-Made
393(6)
Jorgen Saltbones
Ole Nielsen
The Early Warning and Forecasting System (EWFS) for the Reduction of Serious Atmosphere-Hydrosphere Disasters
399(6)
Ang-Sheng Wang
V Early Warning Systems for the Mitigation of Geological Hazards
Early Warning Systems for Mitigation of Geological Hazards - an Overview
405(4)
Robert M. Hamilton
Va Early Warning Systems for Earthquakes
Earthquake Early Warning Systems: Current Status and Perspectives
409(16)
Willy H. K. Lee
Juan Manuel Espinosa-Aranda
Earthquake Disasters: Prediction, Prevention and Early Warning
425(8)
Cinna Lomnitz
Towards an Earthquake Early Warning System for the Megacity of Istanbul
433(8)
Jochen Zschau
M. Isikara
O. Ergunay
M. N. Yalcin
Mustafa Erdik
The Seismic Alert System in Mexico City and the School Prevention Program
441(6)
Juan Manuel Espinosa-Aranda
A. Jimenez
G. Ibarrola
F. Alcantar
A. Aguilar
M. Inostroza
S. Maldonado
R. Higareda
Earthquake Early Warning System in Japan
447(6)
Keiji Doi
UrEDAS: The Early Warning System for Mitigation of Disasters Caused by Earthquakes and Tsunamis
453(8)
Jun Saita
Yutaka Nakamura
On the Establishment of an Automatic Earthquake Information Broadcast System in Taiwan
461(4)
Yih-Min Wu
Jen-Kung Chung
Chen-Chun Chen
Nai-Chi Hsiao
Tzay-Chyn Shin
Yi-Ben Tsai
Kai-Wen Kuo
European Warning System
465(6)
Francoise Tondre
25 Seconds for Bucharest
471(8)
Friedemann Wenzel
Mihnea C. Oncescu
Michael Baur
Frank Fiedrich
Constantin Ionescu
Early Warning Success for the 1976 Tangshan Earthquake: a Best Practice Integrating Public Administration and Science
479(2)
Jeanne-Marie Col
Jean J. Chu
Predictions and Social Response Capacities in Face of the 1995 Menglian Earthquake (M=7.3): an Overview
481(6)
Ronghui Lin
Project of Creation of an Earthquake Early Warning System for Armenia
487(8)
S. Yu. Balassanian
Artak H. Martirossyan
Valery G. Arzoumanian
Can Plate Motion Surveys by GPS Measurements be Considered as an Alert System in Earthquake Occurrence?
495(10)
Abdelhakim Ayadi
Vb Early Warning Systems for Volcano Monitoring and Eruption Warnings
Volcano Monitoring and Eruption Warnings
505(6)
Robert I. Tilling
Geochemical Monitoring on Merapi Volcano, Indonesia
511(4)
Martin Zimmer
Joerg Erzinger
Remote Sensing of Subglacial Eruptions in Iceland and the Development of Related Warning Systems
515(6)
Ulrich Munzer
Klaus Weber-Diefenbach
Information and Warnings to Authorities and to the Public About Seismic and Volcanic Hazards in Iceland
521(6)
Ragnar Stefansson
The Merapi-Project -- Interdisciplinary Monitoring of a High-Risk Volcano as a Basis for an Early Warning System
527(8)
Jochen Zschau
R. Sukhyar
M.A. Purbawinata
Birger-Gottfried Luhr
Malte Westerhaus
Vc Early Warning Systems for Tsunami
Early Warning Systems for Tsunami - an Overview
535(2)
Michael E. Blackford
Tsunami Warning System in Japan
537(6)
Keiji Doi
Advances in the Chilean Tsunami Warning System and Application of the TIME Project to the Chilean Coast
543(6)
Dante R. Gutierrez
A Tsunami Warning System in the SW Aegean Sea, Greece
549(6)
Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos
Vd Early Warning Systems for Mountain Hazards
Early Warning Systems Related to Mountain Hazards
555(10)
Hans Kienholz
Movement Studies to Forecast the Time of Breaking off of Ice and Rock Masses
565(4)
Matthias Wegmann
Martin Funk
Andre Flotron
Hansruedi Keusen
Avalanche Warning Switzerland 2000
569(10)
Tom Russi
Walter Ammann
Bernhard Brabec
Michael Lehning
Roland Meister
Monitoring the Conditions of Dangerous Lakes in Uzbekistan and Contiguous Territories
579(6)
Nicolay E. Gorelkin
V.E. Chub
Wilfried Ahrens
VI Early Warning Systems for Fire and Other Environmental Hazards
The Contribution of the Global Fire Monitoring Center (GFMC) for Early Warning and Management of Wildfires
585(8)
Johann G. Goldammer
Georg Buchholz
Florian Resch
Application of Logistic Models to Predict Human-Caused Forest Fires in Siberia
593(8)
Georg Buchholz
Johann G. Goldammer
David L. Martell
The Use of Microsatellites in the Fight Against Pest Plagues
601(8)
Frithjof Voss
Eckhardt Krabel
Udo Renner
ECPC's Global to Regional Fire Weather Forecast System
609(6)
John Roads
Shyn-Chin Chen
Jack Ritchie
F. Fujioka
H. Juang
M. Kanamitsu
Overview of Lightning Detectors: Their Role in Risk Management of the Lightning Hazard
615(4)
Richard Kithil
Meteorology and Desert Locust: Experience and Implementation of a Monitoring System
619(6)
Brahim Ambar
Early Warning Systems for Asteroid Impacts
625(8)
Christian Gritzner
Space-Borne Autonomous On-Board Recognition of High Temperature Events
633(8)
Dieter Oertel
B. Zhukov
Herbert Jahn
K. Briess
E. Lorenz
Dedicated Earth Monitoring and Disaster Warning Applications by Asia Pacific Advanced Network (APAN)
641(4)
Haruhiro Fujita
Christopher Elvidge
The Finnish Forest Fire Index Calculation System
645(4)
Ari Venalainen
Martti Heikinheimo
Satellite-Based Forest Fire Detection and Automatic Alert System - Pilot Experiment
649(8)
Vaino Kelha
Einar-Arne Herland
Anssi Lohi
VII Early Warning Systems for Rapid Damage Assessment and the Mitigation of Technological Hazards
Technological Hazards
657(18)
Peter Krejsa
Early Warning Systems for Mitigation of Earthquake-Related Technological Risks
675(18)
Fumio Yamazaki
A New Concept for the Earthquake Vulnerability Estimation and its Application to the Early Warning System
693(8)
Yutaka Nakamura
Real-Time City Gas Network Damage Estimation System: Signal
701(8)
Yoshihisa Shimizu
K. Takahashi
GPS Monitoring of Structures: Recent Advances
709(6)
Mehmet Celebi
Will Prescott
Ross Stein
Ken Hudnut
Jeff Behr
Steve Wilson
The Earthquake Early Warning System of the Armenian Nuclear Power Plant
715(4)
Fridrikh Arakelyan
Hrahat Hakobyan
Concept for Seismic Alarm and Monitoring of Soviet-Designed Nuclear Power Plants
719(8)
Lothar Griesser
M. Wieland
C. Kuendig
Optimizing the Seismic Early Warning System for the Tohoku Shinkansen
727(10)
Daniele Veneziano
Achilleas G. Papadimitriou
VIII The Role of Satellite Techniques in Early Warning Systems: State-of-the-art and Perspectives
Toward an Integrated Space Strategy for Disaster Management
737(4)
Helen M. Wood
The Satellite Techniques in Early Warning Systems for Large Towns and Megacities
741(4)
Yu. A. Kravtsov
Efim B. Kudashev
V.V. Golomolzin
M.A. Sharakhmanyan
Monitoring Fires with European Remote Sensing Satellite, ERS-2: The ``Rush ATSR Fire Product'' Demonstration
745(8)
Alessandra Buongiorno
O. Arino
C. Zehner
Remote Sensing and GIS for Warning of Geological Hazards: Application in Vietnam
753(10)
Phan Trong Trinh
The SAF Concept: European Networked Approach for Organising the Generation of Products Based on Satellite Data
763(6)
W. Benesch
J. Kerkmann
Helmut Neumeister
Y. Trehin
Use of Advanced Earth Observation Capabilities for Disaster Management - The Example of the Oder Flood 1997
769(12)
Wolfgang Steinborn
Thomas Ruwwe
The Use of NOAA/AVHRR Data for Flood Disaster Monitoring in the Mekong River Delta
781(10)
Minh Hien Hoang
IX Special Problems of Early Warning Systems for Developing Countries and Small Island States
An Early Warning System for Use in Developing Countries and Small Island States
791(6)
Adigun Ade Abiodun
Victor Kotelnikov
Small Island States and Early Warning Systems
797(4)
Cyril E. Berridge
Tropical Cyclone Warnings and the Factors that Influence Response: The Trinidad and Tobago Experience
801(6)
Steve R. Pollonais
Special Problems Faced by Sri Lanka as a Small Island State with Regard to Early Warning Systems for Cyclonic Storms
807(4)
Prabhath Patabendi
Transferring Flood Warning Technology to Vulnerable Communities in Jamaica
811(6)
Barbara E. Carby
X Future Technology Needs, Accessibility and Affordability of Early Warning Systems
Technical Requirements for Early Warning Systems
817(6)
Hans Secher Schmidt
Officers List 823(4)
Author Index 827(2)
Subject Index 829

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