| LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS |
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ix | |
| EDITORIAL BOARD |
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xi | |
| PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN |
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FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT |
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Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg |
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3 | (10) |
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EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS |
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13 | (14) |
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INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS |
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27 | (30) |
| PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS |
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AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS |
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Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky |
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57 | (20) |
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BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS |
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David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll |
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77 | (16) |
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FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS |
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Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington |
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93 | (26) |
| PART C: SALES FORECASTING |
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COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS |
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Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller |
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119 | (14) |
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IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING |
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Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller |
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133 | (6) |
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USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES |
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Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark |
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139 | (6) |
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AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY |
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Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams |
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145 | (30) |
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FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA |
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175 | (8) |
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IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD |
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Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark |
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183 | (32) |
| PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS |
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FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA) |
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Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201 |
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DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS |
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Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper |
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215 | (28) |
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SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY |
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243 | (4) |
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FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES |
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247 | (18) |
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A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS |
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265 | (12) |
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A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING |
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J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek |
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277 | |