Advanced Trading Rules

by ;
Edition: 2nd
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2002-06-05
Publisher(s): Elsevier Science
  • Complimentary 7-Day eTextbook Access - Read more
    When you rent or buy this book, you will receive complimentary 7-day online access to the eTextbook version from your PC, Mac, tablet, or smartphone. Feature not included on Marketplace Items.
List Price: $204.75

Buy New

Usually Ships in 8 - 10 Business Days.
$195.00

Rent Book

Select for Price
There was a problem. Please try again later.

Rent Digital

Rent Digital Options
Online:1825 Days access
Downloadable:Lifetime Access
$216.00
*To support the delivery of the digital material to you, a non-refundable digital delivery fee of $3.99 will be charged on each digital item.
$216.00*

Used Book

We're Sorry
Sold Out

How Marketplace Works:

  • This item is offered by an independent seller and not shipped from our warehouse
  • Item details like edition and cover design may differ from our description; see seller's comments before ordering.
  • Sellers much confirm and ship within two business days; otherwise, the order will be cancelled and refunded.
  • Marketplace purchases cannot be returned to eCampus.com. Contact the seller directly for inquiries; if no response within two days, contact customer service.
  • Additional shipping costs apply to Marketplace purchases. Review shipping costs at checkout.

Summary

The past few years have seen an extraordinary explosion in the use of quantitative systems designed to trade in the foreign exchange and futures markets. This is witnessed by exponential growth of alternative investments, futures funds and hedge funds. Curiously, research in this area has been fragmented and sporadic. The purpose of Advanced Trading Rules is to bring together leading academics and practitioners who are working on systematic trading rules. It is well known that futures fund managers, among others, tend to rely on some sort of systematic trading rules. Available statistics suggest that systematic traders outnumber their discretionary counterparts by a ratio of two to one. As Chapter 13 shows, the gap is even bigger for sectorized markets such as foreign exchange, interest rates and stock index futures.

Author Biography

Emmanuel Acar is a Principal and Manager of Risk Management Advisory-London, at Bank of America. He previously worked at Citibank as a Vice-President in the FX Engineering Group. He was a proprietary trader for almost ten years at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson, BZW and Banque Nationale de Paris' London Branch. He has experience in quantitative strategies, as an actuary and having completed a PhD on the stochastic properties of trading rules Stephen Satchell is a Fellow of Trinity College, the Reader of Financial Econometrics at the University of Cambridge and a Visiting Professor at Birkbeck College, City University Business School and University of Technology, Sydney. He provides consultancy for a range of city institutions in the broad area of quantitative finance. Dr Satchell is the editor of the Journal of Asset Management. He has published papers in many journals and has a particular interest in risk

Table of Contents

Foreword ix
List of contributors
xi
Introduction 1(5)
Technical trading rules and regime shifts in foreign exchange
6(36)
Blake LeBaron
Introduction
6(1)
Technical trading rules
7(1)
Null models for foreign exchange movements
8(1)
Empirical results
9(19)
Economic significance of trading-rule profits
28(8)
Conclusions
36(6)
Foundations of technical analysis: computational algorithms, statistical inference and empirical implementation
42(70)
Andrew W. Lo
Harry Mamaysky
Jiang Wang
Introduction
42(3)
Smoothing estimators and kernel regression
45(7)
Automating technical analysis
52(11)
Is technical analysis informative?
63(41)
Monte Carlo analysis
104(1)
Conclusions
104(8)
Mean-variance analysis, trading rules and emerging markets
112(10)
Daan Matheussen
Stephen Satchell
Introduction
112(1)
Data and portfolio construction
113(2)
Results
115(3)
Conclusions
118(4)
Expected returns of directional forecasters
122(30)
Emmanuel Acar
Introduction
122(1)
Trading rules
123(2)
Autoregressive models
125(5)
Technical indicators
130(14)
Conditional heteroskedasticity and linear rule returns
144(3)
Conclusions
147(1)
Appendix
148(4)
Some exact results for moving-average trading rules with applications to UK indices
152(22)
George W. Kuo
Introduction
152(3)
The moving-average trading rule
155(2)
The stochastic process for asset returns
157(7)
The moving-average (∞ 1) rule
164(5)
Applications to UK stock and futures markets
169(2)
Conclusions
171(3)
The portfolio distribution of directional strategies
174(9)
Emmanuel Acar
Stephen Satchell
Introduction
174(1)
Portfolio returns of directional strategies
175(1)
Exact distribution under the normal random walk assumption
176(3)
Generalization
179(2)
Conclusions
181(2)
The profits to technical analysis in foreign exchange markets have not disappeared
183(66)
John Okunev
Derek White
Introduction
183(3)
Data and methodology
186(18)
Trading strategies
204(3)
Results
207(30)
Conclusions
237(12)
The economic value of leading edge techniques for exchange rate prediction
249(15)
Christian L. Dunis
Introduction
249(1)
Basic concepts, data processing and modelling procedure
250(5)
Empirical results and further developments
255(6)
Conclusions
261(3)
Is more always better? Head-and-shoulders and filter rules in foreign exchange markets
264(15)
P. N. Kevin Chang
Carol L. Osler
Introduction
264(1)
Defining filter rules and head-and-shoulders patterns
265(4)
Measuring profits from technical signals
269(2)
Empirical profitability of the technical trading rules in FX data
271(2)
The incremental profitability of the head-and-shoulders pattern
273(2)
Conclusions
275(4)
Informative spillovers in the currency markets: a practical approach through exogenous trading rules
279(33)
Pierre Lequeux
Introduction
279(1)
The series and their statistical properties
280(16)
The endogenous and exogenous trading rules
296(7)
Conclusions
303(9)
Stop-loss rules as a monitoring device: theory and evidence from the bond futures market
312(33)
Bernard Bensaid
Olivier De Bandt
Introduction
312(2)
The model
314(5)
A test of the existence of stop-loss strategies
319(5)
Empirical results
324(12)
Conclusions
336(1)
Statistical appendix
337(3)
Mathematical appendix
340(5)
Evolving technical trading rules for S&P 500 futures
345(22)
Risto Karjalainen
Introduction
345(1)
Genetic algorithms
346(3)
Evolving technical trading rules
349(3)
Testing the trading rules
352(5)
Analysing trading rule signals
357(6)
Conclusions
363(4)
Commodity trading advisors and their role in managed futures
367(21)
Derek Edmonds
Introduction
367(1)
Benefits of investing in managed futures
368(1)
Measures of investment and return
368(8)
Modern portfolio theory
376(1)
Overview of creating a managed futures program
377(2)
Commodity trading advisors
379(1)
Systematic versus discretionary traders
380(7)
Conclusions
387(1)
Barep futures funds
388(31)
David Obert
Edouard Petitdidier
Introduction
388(1)
BAREP's organization
388(3)
Trading concepts
391(7)
Money management
398(6)
Epsilon futures fund
404(10)
Performance futures fund and BAREP commodities futures fund
414(4)
Conclusions
418(1)
The need for performance evaluation in technical analysis
419(22)
Felix Gasser
Introduction
419(1)
Tools and definitions
420(3)
Practical use of performance tools
423(8)
Robustness tests
431(7)
Conclusions
438(3)
Index 441

An electronic version of this book is available through VitalSource.

This book is viewable on PC, Mac, iPhone, iPad, iPod Touch, and most smartphones.

By purchasing, you will be able to view this book online, as well as download it, for the chosen number of days.

Digital License

You are licensing a digital product for a set duration. Durations are set forth in the product description, with "Lifetime" typically meaning five (5) years of online access and permanent download to a supported device. All licenses are non-transferable.

More details can be found here.

A downloadable version of this book is available through the eCampus Reader or compatible Adobe readers.

Applications are available on iOS, Android, PC, Mac, and Windows Mobile platforms.

Please view the compatibility matrix prior to purchase.