The Adaptive Decision Maker,9780521415057

The Adaptive Decision Maker

by
ISBN13: 9780521415057
ISBN10: 0521415055
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 1993-05-28
Publisher(s): Cambridge University Press
List Price: $96.60

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Summary

The Adaptive Decision Maker argues that people use a variety of strategies to make judgments and choices. The authors introduce a model that shows how decision makers which strategy a person will use in a given situation. A series of experiments testing the model are presented, and the authors analyze how the model can lead to improved decisions and opportunities for further research.

Table of Contents

Preface xi
Adaptive decision behavior: An introduction
1(19)
Flexibility in decision making
1(2)
Factors influencing contingent decision behavior
3(1)
The benefits and costs of contingent decision behavior
4(5)
Overview of a framework for adaptive decision behavior
9(6)
Research on contingent behavior in other areas of psychology
15(2)
The organization of the book
17(3)
Contingencies in decision making
20(50)
Introduction
20(2)
Decision strategies
22(12)
Decision problem characteristics: Task effects
34(20)
Decision problem characteristics: Context effects
54(12)
Contingent usage of strategies for probabilistic reasoning
66(2)
Summary
68(2)
Deciding how to decide: An effort---accuracy framework
70(47)
Introduction
70(2)
Costs and benefits in decision making
72(3)
Cognitive effort and decision strategies
75(13)
The accuracy of decisions
88(3)
Anticipated accuracy and effort
91(1)
Trading accuracy for effort savings
92(7)
Relationships to other frameworks
99(15)
Summary
114(3)
Studying contingent decisions: An integrated methodology
117(54)
Introduction
117(1)
Production systems as models of decision strategies
118(5)
A Monte Carlo study of effort and accuracy in choice
123(21)
Process-tracing methods
144(3)
Validation by relating the simulation results to prior studies of contingent processing
147(7)
Validation of the simulation results by direct tests
154(14)
Summary
168(3)
Constructive processes in decision making
171(21)
Introduction
171(1)
The nature of constructive processes
172(5)
When will constructive processes be used?
177(1)
Accuracy---effort tradeoffs and constructive processes
178(2)
Noticing and exploiting regularities
180(9)
Summary
189(3)
When may adaptivity fail?
192(26)
Introduction
192(1)
Deficits in knowledge
193(21)
Inability to execute strategies
214(2)
Summary
216(2)
Improving decisions and other practical matters
218(30)
Introduction
218(2)
Approaches to decision aiding
220(19)
The measurement and prediction of preferences
239(8)
Summary
247(1)
The adaptive decision maker: A look backward and a look forward
248(16)
Introduction
248(1)
What have we learned?
248(2)
New directions for future research
250(13)
Summary
263(1)
Appendix: The Mouselab system 264(15)
Introduction
264(2)
The mouse as pointing device
266(2)
Overview of the Mouselab system
268(10)
Summary
278(1)
References 279(30)
Name index 309(6)
Subject index 315

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